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Are Cities Underestimating Carbon Pollution?
by Camille Squires on March 28, 2021, 3:41 p.m.
The city of Los Angeles has been collecting data on its carbon pollution footprint for over a
decade as a part of its efforts to fight global climate change. In 2017, the city reported that it had
reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 40% from 2008 levels, through various changes such as
improving electricity usage in traffic lights, enery efficiency gains in buildings and airport
design modifications. It turns out that the city’s emissions measurements were off, though – by
more than 50%.
And it wasn’t just L.A.: The city of Cleveland, Ohio, undercounted its emissions by 90%,
while Torrance, California, and Blacksburg, Virginia, both miscalculated their cities’ emissions
by more than 100% in their respective public reports, according to a study published in the
journal Nature Communications in February. Researchers from the Vulcan Project found that U.S.
cities overall under-reported their greenhouse gas emissions by nearly 20%. The Vulcan
Project is a multi-year effort funded by NASA and the U.S. Department of Enery to analyze data
on carbon emissions over the United States. The major discrepancies Vulcan Project researchers
found between their own data and many cities’ self-reported numbers is now cities to rethink
the way they conduct their own emissions inventories.
U.S. cities typically report their own carbon pollution loads from everyday activities — traffic
congestion, electricity usage, waste treatment, as a few examples — and these inventories help
direct cities’ efforts at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, whether by planting trees to bolster
the tree canopy or reducing food waste. This work, often carried out by a city sustainability
office, is an increasingly important aspect of urban planning, as the majority of global carbon
emissions come from urban areas. Among the 48 cities included in the study, seven undercounted their numbers by more than 50%. As Bloomberg previously reported, if these results
were extrapolated across the country, the under-counted emissions would amount to more than
474 million tons of CO₂ — almost 25% more than California’s total emissions for 2015.
The findings have sparked a discussion among urban emissions experts about the methodologies
cities use to measure their carbon pollution, and how to collect data that best supports
actionable policy.
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